Last week, the UK’s future role in the EU was drawn further into question following Prime Minister David Cameron’s promise to hold a referendum on EU membership should his Conservative party be re-elected in 2015. The outcome of such a referendum will depend to a large extent upon the UK’s ability to renegotiate a relationship with the EU that counters the Union’s current momentum towards deeper integration. But how will the Member States respond to the UK pumping the breaks? How will Cameron’s pledge to the British people impact it’s near term influence in Brussels? And who are the winners and losers in the long term?
Our own answers to these questions don’t predict a calm future for the EU 27, but they do show that the life of the Union will carry on… with or without the UK.
Want to find out more? Check out our latest analysis of David Cameron’s speech here.